Small Bets

I do not want to make a big leap based on imagination. Help me design small experiments to test a path first.

Path I want to test: [describe]
What I believe about it: [e.g., "I would enjoy building products," "I could raise money," "customers want this"]
Time available: [hours per week]

Tasks:
1. Turn my beliefs into 3 to 5 testable hypotheses.
2. For each, design an experiment lasting 2 to 6 weeks that costs little and is easy to reverse: conversations, a side project, an advisory role, a course, shadowing a founder, a paid pilot.
3. Define in advance what result would encourage me, discourage me, or be inconclusive.
4. Sequence them so the cheapest, most informative experiment comes first.

Output: an experiment plan (hypothesis | experiment | duration | success signal | stop signal).

Free to use and share with attribution. Not for resale.

These prompts support thinking. They do not replace professional legal, financial, medical, regulatory or career advice, or the people who know you well.